During the current analysis period of Sep-Oct 2022, two provinces are classified in IPC AMN Phase 4 (Critical), nine are in IPC AMN Phase 3 (Serious), and ten are in IPC AMN Phase 2 (Alert) out of the 34 provinces and one urban area (Urban Kabul) included in the IPC Acute Malnutrition (IPC AMN) analysis. In the forecast period of November 2022 to April 2023, the situation is anticipated to get worse. A total of 24 provinces will probably deteriorate, and Urban Kabul and 33 of the 34 provinces will probably be in IPC AMN Phase 3 or 4, a report from IPC says.
Acute malnutrition will likely affect 4 million vulnerable individuals in 2023, of whom 875,227 will likely have severe acute malnutrition (SAM), 2,347,802 will likely have moderate acute malnutrition (MAM), and 804,365 will likely be pregnant or nursing women (PLW) who have acute malnutrition.
The provinces of Badakhshan and Paktika are categorized in the current analysis as I PC A MN Phase 4. ( Critical). Phase 3 includes the following provinces: B adghis, B aghlan, B alkh, Farah, Faryab, Ghazni, Ghor, Helmand, Jawzjan, Kabul Rural, Kabul Urban, Kandahar, Kapisa, Kunar, Laghman, Logar, Nangarhar, Nimroz, Nuristan, Panjshir, Parwan, Uruzgan, and Zabul (Serious).
The acute malnutrition condition is anticipated to get worse throughout the projection period, moving from Phase 2 to Phase 3 in 9 provinces and from Phase 3 to Phase 4 in 15 provinces.
Acute food insecurity (AFI), which affects 45% to 55% of households in IPC AFI Phase 3 or above and results in poor food quality for children (only 16% of whom have a minimum acceptable diet), as well as a high prevalence of communicable diseases (such as diarrhea, malaria, and acute respiratory infections; according to the SMART survey, the proportion of children under the age of five experiencing d) are the main causes of acute malnutrition.
